Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.420486 0.495481 0.578114 0.675658 0.787389 0.911090 1.058127
2024-10-13 0.297937 0.394574 0.511983 0.664001 0.854364 1.083509 1.378702
2024-10-20 0.221282 0.324784 0.461657 0.653313 0.911697 1.244522 1.701582
2024-10-27 0.171152 0.275367 0.423874 0.646378 0.965709 1.400893 2.030639
2024-11-03 0.140782 0.245782 0.405561 0.659358 1.043466 1.592199 2.421330
2024-11-10 0.116768 0.219984 0.386845 0.666328 1.109883 1.770469 2.806987
2024-11-17 0.097449 0.197329 0.368229 0.668865 1.167125 1.937568 3.187889
2024-11-24 0.083484 0.180841 0.356398 0.679360 1.235945 2.125877 3.613782
2024-12-01 0.071071 0.164453 0.341629 0.681834 1.290223 2.294006 4.019410
2024-12-08 0.057773 0.143288 0.314362 0.657645 1.295067 2.380545 4.298787
2024-12-15 0.051968 0.136571 0.313387 0.681191 1.385233 2.614947 4.836542
2024-12-22 0.046339 0.128991 0.309339 0.697889 1.463837 2.834634 5.363761
2024-12-29 0.043355 0.127234 0.317585 0.740881 1.597563 3.164250 6.109027
2025-01-05 0.036849 0.115326 0.302056 0.733303 1.633692 3.322706 6.567169
2025-01-12 0.031244 0.104324 0.286610 0.723585 1.664111 3.472423 7.019550
2025-01-19 0.026706 0.095026 0.273438 0.716747 1.698993 3.632093 7.499491
2025-01-26 0.023917 0.090070 0.269975 0.731256 1.779402 3.884134 8.166757
2025-02-02 0.021175 0.084517 0.264012 0.739005 1.845784 4.113064 8.804127
2025-02-09 0.018598 0.078759 0.256468 0.741830 1.901346 4.323914 9.419172
2025-02-16 0.016669 0.074645 0.252672 0.753342 1.977194 4.580645 10.138723
2025-02-23 0.014692 0.069759 0.245809 0.756058 2.032940 4.799399 10.795454
2025-03-02 0.012162 0.061920 0.228739 0.729566 2.017440 4.867249 11.152059
2025-03-09 0.011311 0.060494 0.230956 0.755357 2.129339 5.213930 12.097422